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411’s WWE RPI Rankings 06.16.13

June 16, 2013 | Posted by MP Schroeder

Click here for the entire spreadsheet containing win/loss records and detailed calculations for the past two months.

Overview of this week’s rankings
With Payback this Sunday in Chicago, Roman Reigns reigns supreme in this week’s RPI rankings. Despite his draw against Randy Orton on RAW, Reigns has one of the most impressive win-loss records amongst all WWE Superstars. Whether he and Seth Rollins can retain the Tag Team titles on Sunday against Daniel Bryan and Orton will heavily influence his position at the top.

Despite not wrestling for a few weeks due to a concussion, Dolph Ziggler is second in this week’s rankings. Call it a statistical anomaly, but a win on Sunday against Del Rio would keep Ziggler near the top.

This week’s biggest slider was Curtis Axel. This was largely due to the fact that he faced Triple H twice on RAW and since HHH has such a weak win-loss record over the past two months, this significantly affect Axel’s opponent’s win-loss percentage (which accounts for 50% of the RPI ranking). Whoever wins the IC title match will greatly benefit in terms of RPI.

Over the last four weeks, there has been very little overall gains or slides in RPI rankings. However (as can be seen with this week), there are pretty big shifts on a week to week basis that average out over the course of a month. This may be a sign that parity will be adhered to as opposed to having someone dominant for long stretches.

WWE Superstar RPI Ranking Winning % Win-Loss-Draw Record

1) Roman Reigns

61.4

0.767

11-3-1

2) Dolph Ziggler

60.7

0.500

4-4-0

3) Randy Orton

59.9

0.762

15-4-2

4) Mark Henry

59.7

0.556

5-4-0

5) Kane

57.9

0.500

8-8-0

6) John Cena

57.4

0.417

2-3-1

7) Alberto Del Rio

57.3

0.719

11-4-1

8) Daniel Bryan

57.0

0.472

8-9-1

9) Sheamus

56.9

0.844

13-2-1

10) Chris Jericho

56.1

0.727

8-3-0

11) Seth Rollins

55.5

0.625

10-6-0

12) The Miz

55.4

0.889

8-1-0

13) Big Show

55.3

0.250

2-6-0

14) Dean Ambrose

55.2

0.647

10-5-2

15) Ricardo Rodriguez

54.7

0.875

3-0-1

16) Jack Swagger

53.7

0.429

5-7-2

17) Big E Langston

52.2

0.393

5-8-1

18) Curtis Axel

51.7

0.750

9-3-0

19) Zeb Coulter

51.7

0.100

0-4-1

20) Damien Sandow

51.4

0.357

5-9-0

21) Kofi Kingston

51.3

0.406

6-9-1

22) Jimmy Uso

50.9

0.692

9-4-0

23) Wade Barrett

50.6

0.286

4-10-0

24) Ryback

50.3

0.563

4-3-1

25) Fandango

50.0

0.682

7-3-1

26) Jey Uso

49.9

0.692

9-4-0

27) R-Truth

48.1

0.875

7-1-0

28) Cody Rhodes

47.9

0.294

5-12-0

29) Sin Cara

46.6

0.429

3-4-0

30) Tensai

46.4

0.667

8-4-0

31) Titus O’Neil

45.9

0.200

2-8-0

32) Antonio Cesaro

44.1

0.214

3-11-0

33) Brodus Clay

43.5

0.583

7-5-0

34) Heath Slater

41.8

0.250

2-6-0

35) Darren Young

41.6

0.091

1-10-0

36) The Great Khali

40.7

0.688

5-2-1

37) Epico

40.4

0.000

0-5-0

38) Primo

40.4

0.000

0-5-0

39) Justin Gabriel

37.8

0.556

4-5-0

40) Drew McIntyre

36.5

0.000

0-5-0

41) Santino Marella

36.1

0.333

2-4-0

42) Jinder Mahal

34.5

0.000

0-6-0

43) Zack Ryder

32.3

0.111

1-8-0

44) Triple H

29.7

0.000

0-4-0

WWE Divas RPI Ranking Winning % Win-Loss-Draw Record

1) AJ Lee

64.2

0.750

2-2-0

2) Naomi

58.8

0.833

5-1-0

3) Cameron

57.2

0.800

4-1-0

4) Nikki Bella

56.9

0.429

3-4-0

5) Brie Bella

51.7

0.286

2-5-0

6) Kaitlyn

44.8

0.625

5-3-0

7) Tamina Snuka

43.6

0.200

1-4-0

8) Natalya

42.0

0.667

4-2-0

9) Layla

38.9

0.667

2-1-0

10) Aksana

26.6

0.000

0-3-0

Top ten movers over the last 4 weeks

Gainers Sliders
1) Triple H +3.4 1) John Cena -3.3
2) Curtis Axel +2.2 2) The Great Khali -2.3
3) Dolph Ziggler +1.2 3) Kofi Kingston -2.2
4) Big Show +1.1 4) Wade Barrett -1.6
5) Heath Slater +1.1 5) Seth Rollins -1.5
6) Big E Langston +1.0 6) Zack Ryder -1.3
7) Jimmy Uso +1.0 7) Mark Henry -1.2
8) Alberto Del Rio +0.9 8) R-Truth -1.0
9) Titus O’Neil +0.9 9) Drew McIntyre -1.0
10) Jey Uso +0.9 10) Santino Marella -1.0

RPI Explained
The ratings percentage index (RPI; out of 100) is a method which ranks teams or individuals based upon their wins, losses and strength of schedule. It is used by the NCAA to aid in the selecting and seeding of teams appearing in tournaments such as basketball’s March Madness.

Why are RPI rankings superior to simple win-loss records? Imagine a superstar that wins matches only against jobbers. Sure, their win/loss record will be stellar but by facing opponents who always lose, their RPI will not be as high as a superstar who wins half their matches but always faces opponents with stellar win/loss records. Using a statistically valid approach to examine WWE superstars will allow fans to determine if their favorite wrestler is being booked appropriately and whether their stock is rising or falling.

The factors involved are:
* 1) the superstar’s winning percentage (25%)
* 2) the average winning percentage of the superstar’s opponents (50%)
* 3) the average winning percentage of the superstar’s opponents’ opponents (25%)

Win-loss records are calculated for every WWE superstar over the past 2 months from Monday Night Raw, Smackdown, Superstars, Main Event, Saturday Morning Slam, and pay-per-views. Superstars must have competed in at least 3 matches over the past 2 months to be included in the overall RPI rankings.

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