wrestling / Columns

411’s WWE RPI Rankings 07.20.13

July 20, 2013 | Posted by MP Schroeder

Click here for the entire spreadsheet containing win/loss records and detailed calculations for the past two months.

Overview of this week’s rankings
Despite being out of action, Kane unseats CM Punk in this week’s RPI rankings. The Big Red Machine has been steadily climbing over the last four weeks given the strength of opponents.

Poor Dolph Ziggler can’t seem to catch a break as he slid from 23rd to 26th overall. His two two losses against Alberto Del Rio over the last week and his win against Jack Swagger (who has a paltry 2-6-0 record over the last 2 months) keeps weakening his RPI ranking. Something may be said that by perpetually getting beat and having the odds stacked against him, recapturing the World Heavyweight title will make the victory that much sweeter. But with the betrayal of AJ Lee recently, it appears the WWE Universe may have to wait for that to happen.

Heading into Summerslam and the fight for the WWE Championship, John Cena is ranked 4th and Daniel Bryan is 5th, separated by only 0.3 RPI points. Can’t get much closer than that! Not only does Daniel Bryan make everyone in the ring look that much better, but he helps the RPI ranking of those he competes against as well (since opponent’s winning percentage accounts for 50% of the RPI ranking).

WWE Superstar RPI Ranking Winning % Win-Loss-Draw Record

1) Kane

63.4

0.625

10-6-0

2) Roman Reigns

62.4

0.735

12-4-1

3) CM Punk

61.3

0.917

5-0-1

4) John Cena

61.2

0.643

4-2-1

5) Daniel Bryan

60.9

0.605

11-7-1

6) Seth Rollins

59.1

0.632

12-7-0

7) Chris Jericho

58.2

0.694

12-5-1

8) Randy Orton

57.9

0.646

13-8-3

9) Curtis Axel

56.9

0.833

15-3-0

10) Christian

55.0

0.667

8-4-0

11) Dean Ambrose

54.6

0.531

8-7-1

12) Ryback

53.8

0.625

7-4-1

13) Alberto Del Rio

53.7

0.583

9-6-3

14) Jimmy Uso

52.1

0.615

8-5-0

15) The Miz

51.7

0.786

11-3-0

16) Sheamus

51.0

0.794

13-3-1

17) Jey Uso

51.0

0.571

8-6-0

18) Titus O’Neil

48.8

0.333

3-6-0

19) Damien Sandow

46.9

0.333

4-11-0

20) Kofi Kingston

46.0

0.214

1-5-1

21) Fandango

45.7

0.450

4-5-1

22) Mark Henry

45.7

0.000

0-3-0

23) Sin Cara

45.7

0.318

3-7-1

24) Jack Swagger

45.3

0.250

2-6-0

25) Antonio Cesaro

45.2

0.500

7-7-0

26) Dolph Ziggler

44.8

0.500

4-4-0

27) Cody Rhodes

44.6

0.235

4-13-0

28) Darren Young

44.6

0.182

2-9-0

29) Big E Langston

44.4

0.333

3-6-0

30) Big Show

44.3

0.000

0-3-0

31) Tensai

43.4

0.583

7-5-0

32) Wade Barrett

42.8

0.071

1-13-0

33) R-Truth

42.7

0.750

3-1-0

34) Heath Slater

42.3

0.278

2-6-1

35) Justin Gabriel

41.9

0.389

3-5-1

36) Brodus Clay

41.3

0.538

7-6-0

37) The Great Khali

38.0

0.500

2-2-1

38) Drew McIntyre

36.6

0.000

0-6-0

39) Jinder Mahal

35.8

0.000

0-5-0

40) Triple H

35.5

0.000

0-4-0

41) Zack Ryder

31.2

0.000

0-6-0

WWE Divas RPI Ranking Winning % Win-Loss-Draw Record

1) AJ Lee

65.6

0.688

5-2-1

2) Naomi

58.1

0.750

3-1-0

3) Layla

56.5

0.625

2-1-1

4) Cameron

55.2

0.667

2-1-0

5) Natalya

50.8

0.571

4-3-0

6) Alicia Fox

48.3

0.375

1-2-1

7) Nikki Bella

48.1

0.333

1-2-0

8) Brie Bella

44.7

0.250

1-3-0

9) Kaitlyn

41.9

0.550

5-4-1

10) Aksana

32.4

0.000

0-4-0

Top ten movers over the last 4 weeks

Gainers Sliders
1) Kane +2.7 1) R-Truth -2.4
2) Ryback +2.4 2) Damien Sandow -2.4
3) John Cena +1.9 3) Big Show -2.3
4) Seth Rollins +1.7 4) Jack Swagger -2.1
5) Curtis Axel +1.6 5) Christian -2.1
6) Daniel Bryan +1.5 6) Dolph Ziggler -2.0
7) Brodus Clay +1.2 7) Sheamus -1.9
8) Tensai +0.9 8) Cody Rhodes -1.9
9) Jinder Mahal +0.9 9) Wade Barrett -1.8
10) Roman Reigns +0.8 10) CM Punk -1.8

RPI Explained
The ratings percentage index (RPI; out of 100) is a method which ranks teams or individuals based upon their wins, losses and strength of schedule. It is used by the NCAA to aid in the selecting and seeding of teams appearing in tournaments such as basketball’s March Madness.

Why are RPI rankings superior to simple win-loss records? Imagine a superstar that wins matches only against jobbers. Sure, their win/loss record will be stellar but by facing opponents who always lose, their RPI will not be as high as a superstar who wins half their matches but always faces opponents with stellar win/loss records. Using a statistically valid approach to examine WWE superstars will allow fans to determine if their favorite wrestler is being booked appropriately and whether their stock is rising or falling.

The factors involved are:
* 1) the superstar’s winning percentage (25%)
* 2) the average winning percentage of the superstar’s opponents (50%)
* 3) the average winning percentage of the superstar’s opponents’ opponents (25%)

Win-loss records are calculated for every WWE superstar over the past 2 months from Monday Night Raw, Smackdown, Superstars, Main Event, Saturday Morning Slam, and pay-per-views. Superstars must have competed in at least 3 matches over the past 2 months to be included in the overall RPI rankings.

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MP Schroeder

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