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411’s WWE RPI Rankings 08.10.13

August 10, 2013 | Posted by MP Schroeder

Click here for the entire spreadsheet containing win/loss records and detailed calculations for the past two months.

Overview of this week’s rankings
John Cena remains at the top of the RPI rankings for a third straight week but Daniel Bryan is nipping at his heels only 0.7 points away from SuperCena. And close behind is Randy Orton who also has his sights set on the WWE Championship. Interesting how the top of the RPI rankings so closely match the marquee matchup for Summerslam next Sunday.

Despite losing in matches to Christian and Rob Van Dam, Alberto Del Rio maintains the 7th spot in this week’s rankings and has actually been the biggest RPI mover in the last 4 weeks. Del Rio has quite a lackluster winning percentage (0.500) compared to Christian (.778). Their matchup at Summerslam for the World Heavyweight Championship may be an interesting one since Del Rio may have finally gained the dastardly villain quality he’s been missing with his recent attacks on Ricardo Rodriguez.

Would it be surprising if I said that Layla hasn’t lost a match in two months? She tops the Divas rankings for the first time this week.

Curt Hawkins, Zack Ryder, and Drew McIntyre round out the bottom of the rankings this week. In 17 matches between them over the last two months, they haven’t won a single match. Perhaps 3MB could recruit some new members and form a jobber stable.

No big surprises regarding who is moving up the RPI rankings over the last 4 weeks. As mentioned earlier, Del Rio has gained the most followed by Randy Orton, Daniel Bryan, Dean Ambrose and John Cena. On the sliding side of things, also no big surprises as Sin Cara, R-Truth, The PrimeTime Players and Justin Gabriel slide further and further down.

WWE Superstar RPI Ranking Winning % Win-Loss-Draw Record

1) John Cena

65.8

0.833

5-1-0

2) Daniel Bryan

65.1

0.816

15-3-1

3) Randy Orton

63.0

0.595

10-8-3

4) Seth Rollins

61.8

0.643

9-5-0

5) Roman Reigns

61.3

0.654

8-4-1

6) CM Punk

59.4

0.889

7-0-2

7) Alberto Del Rio

59.2

0.500

7-7-3

8) Chris Jericho

58.8

0.577

7-5-1

9) Dean Ambrose

58.2

0.500

6-6-0

10) Kane

58.0

0.667

8-4-0

11) Christian

57.8

0.778

14-4-0

12) Curtis Axel

57.0

0.844

13-2-1

13) Sheamus

53.3

0.731

9-3-1

14) Rob Van Dam

52.5

0.625

5-3-0

15) Ryback

51.8

0.417

5-7-0

16) The Miz

50.8

0.667

6-3-0

17) Mark Henry

49.4

0.500

3-3-0

18) Jimmy Uso

49.2

0.625

10-6-0

19) Jey Uso

48.3

0.588

10-7-0

20) Damien Sandow

48.0

0.385

4-9-0

21) Antonio Cesaro

47.0

0.583

7-5-0

22) Jack Swagger

46.1

0.250

2-6-0

23) Cody Rhodes

44.9

0.286

4-10-0

24) Tensai

44.5

0.333

3-6-0

25) Dolph Ziggler

43.5

0.545

6-5-0

26) Titus O’Neil

43.3

0.333

3-6-0

27) Wade Barrett

43.1

0.143

2-12-0

28) Big E Langston

43.0

0.429

3-4-0

29) Brodus Clay

42.5

0.300

3-7-0

30) Heath Slater

41.9

0.278

2-6-1

31) Fandango

40.8

0.346

4-8-1

32) Darren Young

37.8

0.167

2-10-0

33) Sin Cara

37.7

0.250

2-7-1

34) The Great Khali

37.7

0.500

2-2-1

35) Jinder Mahal

36.9

0.000

0-4-0

36) Justin Gabriel

36.8

0.313

2-5-1

37) R-Truth

36.3

0.400

2-3-0

38) Drew McIntyre

35.6

0.000

0-8-0

39) Zack Ryder

26.1

0.000

0-6-0

40) Curt Hawkins

21.3

0.000

0-3-0

WWE Divas RPI Ranking Winning % Win-Loss-Draw Record

1) Layla

60.3

0.900

4-0-1

2) AJ Lee

58.4

0.563

4-3-1

3) Naomi

57.2

0.667

2-1-0

4) Alicia Fox

51.9

0.300

1-3-1

5) Natalya

49.4

0.714

5-2-0

6) Brie Bella

44.0

0.333

1-2-0

7) Kaitlyn

40.9

0.500

5-5-1

8) Aksana

38.5

0.000

0-4-0

Top ten movers over the last 4 weeks

Gainers Sliders
1) Alberto Del Rio +1.8 1) Sin Cara -2.6
2) Randy Orton +1.6 2) R-Truth -2.2
3) Daniel Bryan +1.4 3) Darren Young -2.1
4) Dean Ambrose +1.3 4) Justin Gabriel -1.7
5) John Cena +1.2 5) Titus O’Neil -1.7
6) Christian +1.0 6) Kane -1.6
7) Seth Rollins +0.9 7) Fandango -1.4
8) Sheamus +0.7 8) Zack Ryder -1.4
9) Antonio Cesaro +0.6 9) Jimmy Uso -0.9
10) Damien Sandow +0.4 10) Jey Uso -0.9

RPI Explained
The ratings percentage index (RPI; out of 100) is a method which ranks teams or individuals based upon their wins, losses and strength of schedule. It is used by the NCAA to aid in the selecting and seeding of teams appearing in tournaments such as basketball’s March Madness.

Why are RPI rankings superior to simple win-loss records? Imagine a superstar that wins matches only against jobbers. Sure, their win/loss record will be stellar but by facing opponents who always lose, their RPI will not be as high as a superstar who wins half their matches but always faces opponents with stellar win/loss records. Using a statistically valid approach to examine WWE superstars will allow fans to determine if their favorite wrestler is being booked appropriately and whether their stock is rising or falling.

The factors involved are:
* 1) the superstar’s winning percentage (25%)
* 2) the average winning percentage of the superstar’s opponents (50%)
* 3) the average winning percentage of the superstar’s opponents’ opponents (25%)

Win-loss records are calculated for every WWE superstar over the past 2 months from Monday Night Raw, Smackdown, Superstars, Main Event, Saturday Morning Slam, and pay-per-views. Superstars must have competed in at least 3 matches over the past 2 months to be included in the overall RPI rankings.

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