wrestling / Columns

411’s WWE RPI Rankings 09.15.13

September 15, 2013 | Posted by MP Schroeder

Click here for the entire spreadsheet containing win/loss records and detailed calculations for the past two months.

Overview of this week’s rankings
John Cena remains at the top of the RPI rankings for the eight (and likely last) consecutive week. Daniel Bryan, Randy Orton, Bray Wyatt and Roman Reigns round out the top five.

Damien Sandow made the biggest one week jump in RPI rankings by gaining over 5 points with his win over the Miz. On the other hand, Kane dropped the most. Another superstar who dropped a considerable amount was Dean Ambrose. With his losses to Daniel Bryan and Dolph Ziggler, Ambrose dropped from 6th to 11th in the rankings. Yet, his consistently strong performances and alignment with the Corporation could reverse his win-loss fortunes very quickly.

The Wyatt family has been booked incredibly strong since their debut. All three members remain undefeated but are not scheduled (as of yet) to participate in the upcoming PPV. Consistent winning aside, if a backstory isn’t generated for Luke Harper and Erick Rowan other than being lackeys for Bray Wyatt, will fans be invested in their matches?

Over the past two months, all three members of 3MB have lost each of their matches for a combined win-loss record of 0-33-1. Impressive, no? There will inevitably be some superstars who win more than others. However, it used to be the case that no-named jobbers would feel the brunt of the losses. But that is a bygone era and given the current nature of WWE programming, a new breed of jobbers has emerged with the likes of 3MB, Zack Ryder, Justin Gabriel and Jack Swagger. Good for business or inevitable?

WWE Superstar RPI Ranking Winning % Win-Loss-Draw Record

1) John Cena

68.7

0.750

3-1-0

2) Daniel Bryan

66.6

0.881

18-2-1

3) Randy Orton

65.3

0.900

12-2-1

4) Bray Wyatt

63.8

1.000

3-0-0

5) Roman Reigns

63.5

0.750

9-3-0

6) Seth Rollins

63.3

0.714

10-4-0

7) Rob Van Dam

62.6

0.800

11-4-0

8) Erick Rowan

61.1

1.000

4-0-0

9) Luke Harper

61.1

1.000

4-0-0

10) Alberto Del Rio

58.3

0.676

11-5-1

11) Dean Ambrose

58.0

0.538

7-6-0

12) CM Punk

57.2

0.750

4-1-1

13) Christian

56.9

0.667

10-5-0

14) Brodus Clay

56.1

0.333

2-4-0

15) Tensai

56.1

0.333

2-4-0

16) Chris Jericho

55.6

0.400

2-3-0

17) Sheamus

55.3

0.375

1-2-1

18) Ryback

54.8

0.500

5-5-0

19) Mark Henry

52.7

0.625

5-3-0

20) Kofi Kingston

52.6

0.636

7-4-0

21) The Great Khali

52.5

1.000

4-0-0

22) Dolph Ziggler

51.8

0.444

8-10-0

23) Cody Rhodes

50.9

0.636

7-4-0

24) Kane

50.0

0.600

3-2-0

25) Curtis Axel

49.8

0.607

8-5-1

26) Wade Barrett

48.6

0.182

2-9-0

27) Big Show

47.2

0.700

3-1-1

28) Damien Sandow

46.8

0.214

2-12-0

29) Big E Langston

46.2

0.500

5-5-0

30) Fandango

45.0

0.214

3-11-0

31) Jimmy Uso

43.9

0.563

9-7-0

32) Antonio Cesaro

43.8

0.308

4-9-0

33) Jey Uso

43.3

0.529

9-8-0

34) Titus O’Neil

42.7

0.462

6-7-0

35) The Miz

42.2

0.556

5-4-0

36) Darren Young

41.8

0.429

6-8-0

37) Sin Cara

41.5

0.417

2-3-1

38) R-Truth

41.3

0.375

3-5-0

39) Jack Swagger

40.6

0.143

2-12-0

40) Jinder Mahal

35.2

0.000

0-9-0

41) Heath Slater

34.4

0.033

0-14-1

42) Zack Ryder

34.3

0.200

1-4-0

43) Drew McIntyre

32.1

0.000

0-10-0

44) Justin Gabriel

31.0

0.357

2-4-1

WWE Divas RPI Ranking Winning % Win-Loss-Draw Record

1) Layla

56.4

0.688

5-2-1

2) AJ Lee

54.5

0.500

4-4-1

3) Naomi

50.7

0.500

3-3-2

4) Natalya

50.7

0.591

6-4-1

5) Brie Bella

49.8

0.500

3-3-2

6) Alicia Fox

46.8

0.300

1-3-1

7) Aksana

45.1

0.250

1-3-0

8) Kaitlyn

43.3

0.438

3-4-1

Top ten movers over the last 4 weeks

Gainers Sliders
1) Brodus Clay +3.3 1) Big Show -2.7
2) Tensai +3.3 2) The Miz -2.4
3) Sheamus +2.6 3) Jinder Mahal -2.0
4) Kofi Kingston +2.1 4) Chris Jericho -2.0
5) Daniel Bryan +1.8 5) Curtis Axel -2.0
6) The Great Khali +1.5 6) Justin Gabriel -2.0
7) Damien Sandow +1.0 7) Jimmy Uso -1.9
8) Cody Rhodes +0.9 8) Drew McIntyre -1.9
9) Sin Cara +0.9 9) Jey Uso -1.6
10) Wade Barrett +0.6 10) Kane -1.5

RPI Explained
The ratings percentage index (RPI; out of 100) is a method which ranks teams or individuals based upon their wins, losses and strength of schedule. It is used by the NCAA to aid in the selecting and seeding of teams appearing in tournaments such as basketball’s March Madness.

Why are RPI rankings superior to simple win-loss records? Imagine a superstar that wins matches only against jobbers. Sure, their win/loss record will be stellar but by facing opponents who always lose, their RPI will not be as high as a superstar who wins half their matches but always faces opponents with stellar win/loss records. Using a statistically valid approach to examine WWE superstars will allow fans to determine if their favorite wrestler is being booked appropriately and whether their stock is rising or falling.

The factors involved are:
1) the superstar’s winning percentage (25%)
2) the average winning percentage of the superstar’s opponents (50%)
3) the average winning percentage of the superstar’s opponents’ opponents (25%)

Win-loss records are calculated for every WWE superstar over the past 2 months from Monday Night Raw, Smackdown, Superstars, Main Event, Saturday Morning Slam, and pay-per-views. Superstars must have competed in at least 3 matches over the past 2 months to be included in the overall RPI rankings.

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